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Indicators

Indicators

Section titled “Indicators”

What It Is: A diagnostic technique for identifying observable events or trends that can be monitored to track changes in a situation and provide early warning of anticipated events.

When to Use It: After developing a set of hypotheses or scenarios, to create a systematic way of monitoring which one is becoming more likely.

Step-by-Step Guide:

  1. STEP 1: Brainstorm indicators for each scenario. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 328)
  2. STEP 2: Refine the indicators, ensuring they are observable, valid, reliable, and stable. (Beebe and Pherson, 2015, p. 328)